There is a tonne to be decided in the
final few weeks of the Ontario Hockey League regular season, but one
thing that's for sure, is the first round of the playoffs is going to
be intense.
Aside from Barrie, who will likely
cruise into Round 2, there is no clear favourite to advance.
Sure there are teams that will likely
win – Oshawa and Belleville – but they won't have an easy time,
that's for sure.
Over the next few articles, we'll look
at how the Sudbury Wolves match up with each possible opponent –
and there are a few.
As of today, the Wolves would face the
Brampton Battalion, so let's start there.
Round 1 – 4. Wolves vs. 5.
Battaltion.
The Wolves and Battalion are evenly matched teams, but play a very different style.
The Wolves and Battalion are evenly matched teams, but play a very different style.
The Battalion are similar to the New
Jersey Devils – a defence first type of team that slows the game
down, takes advantage of their chances and limits the oppositions.
They are currently on a solid streak which has moved them into fourth
place, going 5-0-2 in their past seven games, including a win over
the Wolves this past Sunday afternoon.
Overall, the Battalion lead the Wolves 4-3-0 in their head-to-head meetings against each other, with their final matchup
coming this Friday in Sudbury.
Just one point separates the two teams,
so this game is huge for a number of reasons.
Let's begin with how the Wolves would
win the series, if they match up.
The Wolves have a tonne of speed from
all four lines and even their six defencemen. Being able to play
different styles is huge for the Wolves, but it's their speed and
creative nature that allow them to create offence, make key plays in
the neutral zone and turn the puck over to head on the counter
attack.
A perfect example of the speed and
creative play they have is from their top six forward – Mathew
Campagna, Nathan Pancel and Nick Baptiste on line one, and the
Dominiks – Kahun and Kubalik, along with Brody Silk (usually), but
lately, Matt Schmalz on line two.
These are six forwards that can play
the game any way, but rely on their skill and speed. Kahun and
Kubalik have proven to be impact players in their first season with
the Wolves and in the OHL. They have contributed a lot, combining for
22 goals and 34 assists, providing huge second line numbers.
Silk, who was their linemate for a
while, has 30 points this year and their current linemate, Schmalz,
has five points in 10 games as a member of the Wolves since coming
over in the deal with Kitchener.
And while those are just the Wolves'
top two lines, their third and fourth line are huge to their success,
along with the defencemen, who often jump in the rush, like Evan De
Haan, Jeff Corbett and on occasion, Charlie Dodero.
The Wolves' skill and speed make them
tough to deal with.
But not to be pushed around, the Wolves
have proven they can play a rough game as well, standing up for one
another on many occasions, including games against Oshawa and
Windsor, where they had to respond physically.
The balance, as well as the willingness
to play those different style make the Wolves a dangerous team.
And we haven't even mentioned goalie
Franky Palazzese in goal, who can steal and a game and who will
definitely have to at some point in the playoffs.
On the other side, the Battalion play a
slower style, a grind it out style that doesn't rely on offence.
That is most noticeable in their goals
for department, where they sit dead last in the OHL with just 145
goals scored.
But the key for them, is the fact that
they've only given up 145 goals, which puts them sixth in the league.
With strong goaltending, big, tough,
steady defenders and forwards who commit to playing in their own
zone, the Battalion are a team that are built for the playoffs.
Brampton relies on scoring first,
building a lead and then smothering the opposition’s attack and
shutting them down.
And if they do break down, Matej
Machovsky has proven to be one of the league's top goalies time and
time again.
But because he isn't tested all that
much, the key to beating him is lots of pucks to the net and traffic.
The Wolves power play is ranked fifth
in the league, meaning it is deadly.
They scored basically once in every
four times they have the man advantage, while the Battalion sit 12th,
a decent spot, but they're a full five percentage points behind
Sudbury.
But here's where it gets interesting.
The Battalion are fifth in penalty
killing in the league and the Wolves are 13th. So what this amounts
to is, the Wolves and their fifth best power play against the
Battalion's fifth best penalty kill. And the Battalion's 12th best
power play against the Wolves' 13th ranked penalty kill.
If it comes down to special teams,
which if so often does in the playoffs, the two teams match up very
well, it would seem.
On paper, the Wolves have the advantage
due to their high speed offence and improved goaltending and defence,
but the games aren't played on paper, so if these teams meet, like
they did last season, anything could happen.
In terms of a direct matchup, these
teams do seem very similar.
Goaltending – Even
Defence – Advantage Battalion
Offence – Advantage Wolves
All things considered, this is the kind
of series that could go seven games, and with the Wolves hosting
Games 7 due to sitting in fourth place, they have the advantage
thanks to the fans and that home ice, so finishing fourth is a big
deal for these teams.
Next Up, Wolves vs. Niagara Ice Dogs
comparison
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